Why China will win the trade war (by Philippe Legrain) 13 April 2018 Although Donald Trump has a strong faith that the U.S. would win the trade war with China, this Foreign Policy piece argues that China is much stronger politically and economically. If we take into account the trade war, the authors highlight that the both parties will lose, however, they will do their best to get less...

A prominent stateswoman and diplomat, Roza Otunbayeva has had huge impact on the modern history of Kyrgyzstan and even served as President from 2010 to 2011. In this exclusive interview with Christian Eccher that took place in Bishkek in November 2017, she tells about her intense political life and the challenges her country might face in the near future. In the second part of Christian Eccher`s...

Third and final part of the interview with Roza Otunbayeva. In this section of the interview with Christian Eccher, the former President of Kyrgyzstan reflects on the future of her country and on Bishkek's relations with the other Central Asian countries. The first part of the interview is available here. The second part is instead available here.   The relations with Kazakhstan have been tense since...

Japan, China and South Korea get together 10 May 2018 This piece analyzes Mr. Abe’s invitation sent to the Chinese prime minister and the South Korean president, to come to Tokyo, and relates this step to Donald Trump’s recent steps towards North Korea. Furthermore, it states that the main push for this action had to do uncertainty over American role in the Pacific, as well as a possible trade...

  Iran among the ruins (by Vali Nasr) 13 February 2018 Vali Nasr provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolving role of Iran in the Middle East, arguing that demonizing Tehran and re-introducing sanctions against it is a bad policy for the U.S. He shows that the increasing Iranian influence in a range of countries- war-torn Syria, Iraq, Qatar- is due to a large extent to America’s own policy...

The scrapping of the Iran deal was criticized by an overwhelming majority of observers as a shortsighted decision. Yet, President Trump's action seems to reflect the view of several of his Security Council members and his main regional allies in the Middle East. Two possible paths are now open for the Trump administration.   Longtime opponents of the deal, like State Secretary Pompeo and National...

The revolutionary events in Armenia are approaching their logical end, and unless something totally unexpected happens in the upcoming couple of days, the protest leader Nikol Pashinyan should be elected as the country’s new Prime Minister, de-facto head of state. Unfolding in such an expected and quickly manner, this process was bound to confuse many observers and analysts alike and give way to a...

Globalization is not in retreat (by Susan Lund, Laura Tyson) 16 April 2018 In this extensive essay, Susan Lund and Laura Tyson try to refute the now-popular thesis that the age of globalization is over, and instead suggest it has taken a new form, strikingly different from the “classic” one. Among the major features characterizing it, the authors emphasize the shift of trade growth from the...

What China Gained From Hosting Kim Jong Un (by Oriana Skylar Mastro) 9 April 2018 Oriana Skylar Mastro looks in depth at Xi’s hosting of Kim Jong Un and the main motives behind his action. The author states that although on the surface this action is perceived as Chinese desire to improve the Sino-North Korean relations, one of the main purposes was to shape the agenda of the upcoming North...

  Decades under the influence (by Markus Wagner, Thomas Meyer) 4 April 2018 The rightward shift of the European politics is not a new phenomenon at all, claim the authors of this piece published at the Foreign Affairs. The analysis of party manifestos in 17 Western European countries demonstrates that the process has been gradually going on since the 1970s, and the recent immigration crisis has just...

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