Why China will win the trade war (by Philippe Legrain) 13 April 2018 Although Donald Trump has a strong faith that the U.S. would win the trade war with China, this Foreign Policy piece argues that China is much stronger politically and economically. If we take into account the trade war, the authors highlight that the both parties will lose, however, they will do their best to get less...

What China Gained From Hosting Kim Jong Un (by Oriana Skylar Mastro) 9 April 2018 Oriana Skylar Mastro looks in depth at Xi’s hosting of Kim Jong Un and the main motives behind his action. The author states that although on the surface this action is perceived as Chinese desire to improve the Sino-North Korean relations, one of the main purposes was to shape the agenda of the upcoming North...

  Decades under the influence (by Markus Wagner, Thomas Meyer) 4 April 2018 The rightward shift of the European politics is not a new phenomenon at all, claim the authors of this piece published at the Foreign Affairs. The analysis of party manifestos in 17 Western European countries demonstrates that the process has been gradually going on since the 1970s, and the recent immigration crisis has just...

  Northern Ireland's Brexit Problem (by Henry Farrell) 29 March 2018 The problem of the Irish border after Brexit has been the British government’s Achilles heel ever since the withdrawal negotiation with the EU started. The free border between the independent Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland which remains part of UK, has been one of the major conditions that cemented the 1997 Good...

Debilitating hostility between Saudi Arabia and Iran is about lots of things, not least who will have the upper hand in a swath of land stretching from Central Asia to the Atlantic coast of Africa. While attention is focused on ensuring that continued containment of Iran ensures that Saudi Arabia has a leg up, geopolitics is but one side of the equation. Natural gas is the other. With signatories to the...

Iran may pull out of the nuclear deal before the US (by Massoumeh Torfeh)  1 March 2018 In the opinion piece by Massoumeh Torfeh, she claims that Iran will leave a nuclear deal (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)) if it cannot gain economic benefits from it. Meanwhile, the author talks about Trump’s desire to increase sanctions against Iran and his violation of deal through creating...

OPEC mulls a long-term alliance with Russia to keep oil prices stable The Economist comments on the strengthening relationship between Saudi Arabia and Russia and puts forward the idea that the countries are set to reach more effective limits to the global production of oil. Resurgence of shale production in the U.S. makes it natural for the large producers whose economies are strongly dependent on...

  In late September 2017, the Iraqi Kurdish authorities organized a referendum in which an overwhelming majority voted for independence. However, this outcome was not immediately materialized into independence. Dr. James M. Dorsey, a Middle East scholar from Singapore’s Nanyang Technological University, shares his thoughts on the referendum and expectations in post-referendum future. ...

2nd Foreign Policy and Security Winter School, 14-18 March 2018, Istanbul/Turkey   Turkey is located at very critical geography. On one hand it is a NATO member and strategic partner of the USA. On the other hand, it is located in the neighborhood of the regional powers like Iran and Russia which both of them play extremely important role at the contemporary world politics. Furthermore, Turkey has...

The Centre for Syrian Studies (CSS) at the University of St Andrews in Scotland invites submission of abstracts for papers to be given at its Fourth International Conference on Syria to be held 1-3 August 2018 in St Andrews, Scotland. The theme of the conference will be the late Uprising period since roughly 2015, with the focus on issues such as the sectarianization of the conflict; the evolution of the...

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