Japan, China and South Korea get together 10 May 2018 This piece analyzes Mr. Abe’s invitation sent to the Chinese prime minister and the South Korean president, to come to Tokyo, and relates this step to Donald Trump’s recent steps towards North Korea. Furthermore, it states that the main push for this action had to do uncertainty over American role in the Pacific, as well as a possible trade...

There is no exaggeration to tell that Trump’s final decision to leave the nuclear deal with Iran has significantly changed the political situation not only in the Middle East but in the whole world. Numerous experts have already presented detailed analyses of possible negative consequences to all involved parties including the U.S. However, what was done is done and new questions arise. Among the...

  Iran among the ruins (by Vali Nasr) 13 February 2018 Vali Nasr provides a comprehensive analysis of the evolving role of Iran in the Middle East, arguing that demonizing Tehran and re-introducing sanctions against it is a bad policy for the U.S. He shows that the increasing Iranian influence in a range of countries- war-torn Syria, Iraq, Qatar- is due to a large extent to America’s own policy...

The scrapping of the Iran deal was criticized by an overwhelming majority of observers as a shortsighted decision. Yet, President Trump's action seems to reflect the view of several of his Security Council members and his main regional allies in the Middle East. Two possible paths are now open for the Trump administration.   Longtime opponents of the deal, like State Secretary Pompeo and National...

Globalization is not in retreat (by Susan Lund, Laura Tyson) 16 April 2018 In this extensive essay, Susan Lund and Laura Tyson try to refute the now-popular thesis that the age of globalization is over, and instead suggest it has taken a new form, strikingly different from the “classic” one. Among the major features characterizing it, the authors emphasize the shift of trade growth from the...

Madman theory is a political theory commonly associated with the U.S. President Richard Nixon. He and his administration strove to convince the leaders of hostile countries that Nixon was irrational and volatile enough to take unpredictable actions. This tactic was supposed to induce the hostile nation to stand down and avoid provoking the United States, fearing an unpredictable American...

From trigger happy generals to irrational leaders, who should be trusted with U.S. nuclear button? Let’s find out. For decades wise nuclear experts like Ash Carter and Peter D. Fever have written about the nuclear hair triggers. To their respected warnings, I’ll add another. We all know that in the United States, President has the legal and political authority to order the launch of nuclear...

Iran may pull out of the nuclear deal before the US (by Massoumeh Torfeh)  1 March 2018 In the opinion piece by Massoumeh Torfeh, she claims that Iran will leave a nuclear deal (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)) if it cannot gain economic benefits from it. Meanwhile, the author talks about Trump’s desire to increase sanctions against Iran and his violation of deal through creating...

Stimson Centre published a book The Lure and Pitfalls of MIRVs: from the First to the Second Nuclear Age, which is the collection of essays edited by Michael Krepon1, Travis Wheeler2 and Shane Mason3. It attempts to compare the Cold War era’s nuclear strategies with the contemporary strategic trends – presenting various perspectives on Multiple Independent Re-entry Vehicles (MIRVs).  In...

After four days of skirmishes in early April, along the line of contact in the occupied Nagorno-Karabakh region of Azerbaijan, Armenian politicians made international headlines by declaring “the presence of nuclear weapons in Armenia”. Thus, the former Prime Minister of Armenia, and current MP, Hrant Bagratyan, claimed at a press conference on 29 April at the Armenian Media Centre, “We...

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